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情報理論の10年ほどまえの宿題

メモ

ローカルを探しても無かったので,

information theory "clever student notices that"

とかでぐぐってばっちし見つけました..

Problem 1.4:
The weatherman’s record in a given city is given in the table below, the numbers indicating the relative frequency of the indicated event.

            Actual
   Prediction   Rain   No rain
    Rain     1/8    3/16
    No rain   1/16   10/16

A clever student notices that the weatherman is right only 12/16 of the time, but could be right 13/16 of the time by always predicting no rain. The student explains the situation and applies for the weatherman’s job, but the weatherman’s boss (who has studied information theory) turns him down. Why?

で,回答はまだ出来てない.期限は来週末に設定.